ELECTION RELIEF: Market Surge Likely After Midterms—Historical Data Shows 15.5% Average Gain...
MarketWatch.com - Top StoriesOctober 25, 2026Markets
Stock market performance historically shifts after midterm elections, regardless of which party wins control. Data from 1950 onward shows the nine-month stretch from Election Day through June 30 has averaged 15.5% gains for the S&P 500, suggesting investors may see relief from recent volatility once the political uncertainty of the campaign season passes. This pattern reflects a broader market tendency to stabilize and climb once election results are settled and investors can focus on earnings and economic conditions rather than political outcomes.